Unanswered questions on Benghazi attack

What we now know what Obama administration knew back on 9/11/2012

We now know these facts about the attack on the US consulate in Benghazi:

–the attack was viewed real time by the White House, at State department, at Defense department and at Africom HQ in Germany. This proved the lies told by the administration that they did not know the identities of the attackers. Continue reading

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The race to 270

After months of campaigning and hundreds of millions worth of ads (negative ads to be exact), it will all come down to who will get the most electoral votes—not the popular votes.

Can Governor Romney get 270 electoral votes to take the country back from Obama and away from his “going-nowhere” agenda and policy?

1)     Where we are…

In addition to the safe “red” states that John McCain won in 2008, North Carolina is now a red state as wella recent Gravis poll showing Romney in front by 8%. As a matter of fact, the last North Carolina poll that had Obama in front was early in October.

 

Romney 206 EV - Obama 201 EV

Romney 206 EV – Obama 201 EV

 

With this map showing safe blue states and safe red states, Obama has 201 electoral votes (EV) while Romney has 206 votes.

2)     Swing states

Colorado (CO – 9 EV): Denver was where Obama received his presidential nomination from the Democrats in 2008. Denver was also where troubles began for Obama in his re-election bid in 2012 after the first debate in the city. That first debate showed an aggressive Romney who knew beyond the campaign rhetoric. He presented his plan clear and understandable to voters. Contrast that to Obama who showed up with nothing for his second-term plan except attacks and distortions on Romney’s plan. And the voters noticed. They began to like Romney more. Swing states polls slowly but steadily showed Romney’s gain. Colorado voters have also switched to Romney. Coming from behind, Romney has now tied Obama in recent polls. Will Romney be able to continue this momentum to take this state? Yes.

Romney: 215 EV, Obama 201 EV

Virginia (VA – 13 EV): many voters in Virginia work for the federal government. One would believe that most of them are disgusted with the administration’s handling of the Benghazi situation—the 3 am call that both President Obama and Hillary Clinton did not respond well. They did not attempt to rescue Ambassador Stevens and his 3 other officials. They chose to stand down out of fears. This miss may continue for the change of hearts for VA voters as well as voters in other swing states. Virginia still remains a very close contest. A recent Fox News poll showed Romney in front 47% to 45% for Obama—after trailing Obama by 50% to 43% margin. But the important number to keep in mind is 7% of the voters are still undecided—comparing to 5% in the same poll taken about 5 weeks earlier. Why is this important? The undecided voters at this late in the election usually tend to vote against the incumbent or skip voting. In either way, it works for Romney. It should also be noted that Romney reached 50% in a recent VA poll by Rasmussen Reports to 48% for Obama.

Romney: 228 EV, Obama 201 EV

Florida (FL – 29 EV): most recent polls have Romney leading Obama by from 1%, 2%, 3% or 5%. The Sunshine State News poll (taken 10/22 – 10/24) put Romney at 51% and Obama at 46%. The latest Rasmussen Reports, however, showed a smaller Romney lead—50% to 48%. In this same poll, among those who have not voted in early voting, 92% said they have already made up their minds certain to vote—and Romney won this group 51% to 48%. Again, 8% of those who have not voted have not made up their minds—these are the voters that Romney will continue to go after. In the end, Florida will be red.

Romney: 257 EV, Obama 201 EV

Michigan (MI – 16 EV): this state has no business to be a swing state this late in the election. The latest Baydoun/Foster poll (10/22-10/23) had Romney and Obama tied at 47% after Obama led by 3% two weeks earlier. And 4% are still undecided. One must believe that voters see through the label “Let Detroit go bankrupt” that Obama puts on Romney. If this state turns red, it will mean a landslide victory for Romney. But I believe Obama will be able to get a close win in Michigan.

Romney: 257 EV, Obama 217 EV

Wisconsin (WI – 10 EV): how important was the pick of Paul Ryan as VP by Romney? This is a state that Obama won by 14% in 2008. This is also a state that has not voted for Republican president since 1984—the last Republican president chosen by Wisconsin was Ronald Reagan. Yet, with about 10 days left in the race, a recent Rasmussen poll showed Romney and Obama tied at 49%. Among the 96% who said they are sure to vote this election, Romney leads 51%-47%.  Among the 92% who said they’ve already made up their minds, Romney leads 51%-48%. While the Badgers may not be able to make Rose Bowl in January 2013, the state of Wisconsin will look like a red rose on November 6.

Romney: 267 EV, Obama 217 EV

Pennsylvania (PA – 20 EV): polls showed Obama in front by a comfortable level. I don’t see much a chance for Romney to take this state unless in a landslide scenario.

Romney: 267 EV, Obama 237 EV

Iowa (IA – 6 EV): all four major newspapers in Iowa—including Des Moines Register—endorsed Romney. Quotes from Des Moines Register for picking Romney over Obama…Which candidate could forge the compromises in Congress…When the question is framed in those terms, Mitt Romney emerges the stronger candidate…Romney has made rebuilding the economy his No. 1 campaign priority — and rightly soThat has been exactly the problem in Washington DC. In 2009-2010, President Obama would work with Pelosi and Reid to get things done to his desire—aka ObamaCare. But the last 2 years, he hasn’t compromised with John Boehner. President Reagan met half-way with Tip O’Neill on many issues and President Clinton had to compromise with Newt Gingrich. President Obama is leading Romney in recent polls by an average of 2% before these endorsements. In the end, Romney will be able to pick up Iowa.

Romney: 273 EV, Obama 237 EV

If Romney can’t pick up IA, then he needs New Hampshire with its offer of 4 EV or  Nevada with 6 EV to get over 270. And, of course, then there is the state of Ohio with its 18 EV.

Ohio (OH – 18 EV): since 1972, Ohio has voted for presidents. At the same time, it should be noted that Ohio’s number of electoral votes has gradually decreased from 25 in 1972, 23 in 1984, 21 in 1992, and 20 in 2004 to only 18 in 2012. May one say Ohio’s importance has decreased? Not really. Obama currently leads Romney by an average of 2.3% in the most recent 11 polls—3 of which showed a tie. In a recent Purple Strategies poll (10/23-25), Obama leads Romney by 2%. In this poll 26% said they already voted—58% for Obama and 32% for Romney. Among those who have not voted, Romney has a lead of 49% to 42%. In the latest poll from Cincinnatti Enquire/Ohio News (10/18-10/23), Romney and Obama are tied up at 49%—last month poll showed Obama with 51% support.

If Romney wins OH, game is over. If Obama wins OH, Romney can still get over 270 EV with one of these three swing states—NH, NV or IA.

This is what my electoral map will look like for 2012 – without the decision for OH. Romney will get at least 277 EV while Obama will get 243 with OH is too close to call.

My prediction for 2012

My prediction for 2012

Ch3 Nguyen

Maps were made using http://www.anamericanvision.com/maps/electoral/electoral.php

10/28 notes: just when I am content with MN being a blue state, latest poll from StarTribune/Mason-Dixon (10/23-10/25) showed Obama leading Romney by only 3% – less than the margin error of 3.5%. Again, 7% are still undecided. May I dare to think MN is now a toss-up state?  10 EV is at stake. No wonder there was a report from ABC on 10/26 that both Obama and Romney has bought more ad time in MN.

10/30: Obama’s lead in Oregon was cut down to 6% based on a latest poll from The Oregonian — 47% to 41%. Again, 8% are still undecided. Is its 7 EV up for grabs?

10/31: the latest Detroit News poll (10/27-10/29) showed Obama’s lead in Michigan was cut to 3% – less than the margin error of 4%.  With 3.8% undecided, Obama had 47.7% support to 45% for Romney. Three weeks earlier, Obama led by 7% in the same poll. In 2008, Obama won Michigan and its 16 EV by 17%.

11/4: the lastest Baydoun/Foster poll (11/2-11/2) showed Romney in front of Obama by 1% in Michigan with 2% are still undecided. Can Romney pull out a victory in Michigan? A week earlier, the two were tied in the same poll with 4% undecided.

11/4: the latest Columbus Dispatch poll (11/2) showed Obama’s lead on Romney in Ohio  has been cut to 2% – well within the 2.2% error margin of the poll.

11/4: the latest Tribune poll showed Obama and Romney are tied at 47% each. PA’s unemployment rate is now at 8.2%, higher than the national rate of 7.9%. PA has no business of being a toss-up state. It should be blue and now it represents a good opportunity for Romney to steal 20 EV from Obama. 

11/07/2012: In the end, American voters selected President Obama for his 2nd term. Gov Romney could not carry OH, VA, NH — with FL was still to close to call at the time of this writing. The popular votes were close: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

Final 2012 Electoral Map without FL

Final 2012 Electoral Map without FL

Is Iran ready to negotiate with the US?

Déjà vu?

On 10/20, The New York Times reported that the U.S. and Iran have agreed in principle for the first time to one-on-one negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program, according to Obama administration officials.

The White House denied this report—saying it is prepared to meet with Iran for a bilateral discussion but there was no agreement to do so between the 2 countries. US National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor said in a statement that it was untrue the US and Iran had “agreed to one-on-one talks or any meeting after the American elections.”

So where is the truth? And does it matter? Continue reading

Four Americans Dead and Ahmed Abu Khattala is Alive!

No one can deny the incompetency of the Obama administration in choosing to cut the security in Libya. Being the blamers under the pressure, they now blame on the budget cuts that Congress forced on them. But being stupid as they are, they don’t realize that the public would ask…why they did not cut security budgets in places such as (serene) Canada, (placid) Tokyo, (tranquil) Australia, or (peaceful) New Zealand instead. Continue reading

Romney versus Obama Debate # 2

It was a very heated debate between President-want-to-be Romney and Incumbent President Obama. Millions of Americans watched 2 candidates going after each other for 90 minutes.

Governor Romney kept his intensity and aggressive level that millions saw in the first debate. He did not let one charge—distortion—from President Obama going without an answer. He presented his plan clearly. He questioned Obama’s policies which have not worked the last 4 years. He even managed to bring up “Fast and Furious”—a program from the Obama administration that put automatic guns in the hands on the drug rebels—during the discussion of gun control laws. Romney clarified his tax plan that the top 5% will continue to pay 60% of the total tax revenue and no tax increase on the middle income group. Continue reading

Benghazi-gate: Obama-Biden versus Clinton-Clinton

During a Congressional hearing on Benghazi on 10/10/2012, it was told that security at the U.S. diplomatic post in Benghazi was “inappropriately low” per Eric Nordstrom—the top regional security officer in Libya earlier this year. He also said “…all of us at the post were in sync that we wanted these resources…” referring to the request to extend the extra security force that was denied by the State department. At the same hearing, Lt. Col. Andrew Wood said: “We felt great frustration that those requests were ignored or just never met.” Continue reading

Stay the course with Obama?

The week of 10/1 started out just like any other week that Obama would enjoy. Five weeks before the November election day, Obama was in front of Romney in most important swing states—if you believe in the polls. That was until the debate took place. And Obama’s team believed that he recovered with the September jobs report. Did he? Was the September jobs report really good? Continue reading

Hòa Bình ơi! Hòa Bình ơi!

Syria – Turkey

Theo bản tin trên Guardian ngày 5/10, Turkey tiếp tục “trả đũa” Syria sau những trận tấn công bằng súng cối từ Syria dọc biên giới giữa hai nước. Đây là ngày thứ tư liên tục mà Turkey phải bắn trả bằng trọng pháo vào Syria. Turkey cảnh cáo Syria phải ngưng ngay những trò khiêu khích không có lợi cho Syria này. Continue reading

September Jobs Report: Good or Bad?

The numbers—from Bureau of Labor Statistics

The unemployment rate in the U.S. unexpectedly fell to 7.8% (12 million people) in September.

—involuntary part-time workers rose from 8.0 (Aug) to 8.6 million (Sept): 600,000 more people who couldn’t find full-time work; lost their full-time work and took part-time work; or got their hours reduced not by their choice. Continue reading

Can you help us?

(Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Obama And Romney In First Presidential Debate (Denver)

On 10/3, with the presidential race is very much a tight race—no matter how many polls trying to tell you Obama already won it—the first presidential debate between challenger Romney and incumbent Obama took place in front of more than 67 million Americans.

The challenger exposed the incumbent on his first term record. Continue reading

CA Prop 30 and 38: Yes or No?

On November 6, among many important decisions awaiting California voters will be a decision on proposition 30—raising taxes on people earning $250,000 or more and state sales tax from 7.25% to7.5%. But the most difficult decision may be whether to pass proposition 38 which will raise taxes for most hard-working Californians—in a way, voters are asked to raise their own taxes. Continue reading