Why can’t Rick Santorum hear the Lady?

(Photo Source: MS office)

(Photo Source: MS office)

The Lady has sung. The opera is over.

And yet, Santorum and Gingrich still talk up scenarios in which they could prevent Romney from getting 1144 in order to take the GOP race to Tampa and either of the two can steal the nomination in an open/brokered convention.

Santorum has indicated that he would not quit until after May primaries in Texas, Kentucky, Arkansas, North Carolina and Indiana where he is assuming he could win.

The issues at hand are:

1)     Mitt Romney will get 1144 before the convention. Romney is leading in WI by 8% in latest poll, in MD by 25% and Santorum is not on DC ballot. There is a very good chance that Romney can sweep these winner-take-all primaries on 4/3 for another 98 delegates, bringing his total to 664 delegates—based on numbers from RealClearPolitics.com. The next contests after 4/3 would be on 4/24 from the northeast states (NY, CT, RI, and DE), where Romney is expected to win a majority of the 159 total delegates, and PA—Santorum’s home state has 72 delegates but Romney has sneaked up to trail him by just 2% in latest poll. After 4/24, Romney may very well have over 850 delegates, needing less than 300 delegates with 3 big winner-take-all primaries in CA, NJ, UT in which he can win all of 262 delegates. Once again, Romney has the math on his side. Santorum cannot stop Romney from getting 1144. No one can.

2)     The longer Santorum refuses to quit, the more expense it will cost Romney for the remaining primaries—the money that could be spent against Obama in the general election instead. The more campaign attacks that Santorum directs at Romney, the more beneficial that will provide to Obama. Santorum is now a spoiler in the GOP race. Republicans don’t benefit from his staying in the race, but rather the Democrats and Obama enjoy his lingering campaign.

The Wall Street Journal reported that Republican National Committee and Romney’s team have begun planning campaign raising in preparation of November election–an indication that the Republicans are coalescing behind Mitt Romney as their candidate.

The Lady has sung. The opera is over. Everyone has heard her loud and clear, except Santorum. Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, George H.W. Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rob Johnson and many more Republican officials have heard her. Tomorrow, 4/3, voters from WI, MD and DC will show they have heard her loud and clear too.

We need one more to hear her—Rick Santorum.

Ch3 Nguyen

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